Market Posture Monitor
as of 2026-10-23 · generated 2026-10-24
All figures computed by code; no AI-generated numbers
Semiconductor sector: Underperformed the broad market by 9.5pp over the trailing quarter (6th percentile) — momentum has faded; Price sits +0.8% above its 200-day moving average (20th percentile of 10 years) — back to normal range.
Risk Tier
Low
Low — both the moving-average bias and relative strength are within normal range
SOX Detail
IndicatorValue10y PercentileStateExplainer
Relative Strength-9.5ppNormalHow much this sector has out-/under-performed the S&P 500 over the trailing 63 trading days — a read on whether money is flowing into it
% above 200-DMA+0.8%NormalHow far price sits above its 200-day moving average — the more extreme the deviation, the more room to fall back
Drawdown from 52-wk high-26.3%WatchHow far the current price sits below its highest point over the past year — a measure of how much of the decline has been recovered
Market Breadth-2.13%AlertHow many stocks participate in the rally — the narrower the participation, the more the market depends on a few names
Structural WarningStrongest sector: Energy (XLE), but market participation is narrow — no sign of the 'single hot sector, narrow rally' warning pattern.NormalDetects the 'single overheated sector, narrow rally' danger pattern — this light was red just before the 2026-06 crash
Sources: yfinance (VIX/SKEW/SPY/RSP/HYG/IEF/^TNX/^IRX/^SOX/XLK/XLE/XLF/XBI/MU/EWY/005930.KS/000660.KS/KRW=X) · multpl.com (Shiller CAPE) · slickcharts.com (S&P 500 top-10 weight, currently 403 gap)
Warning-rule thresholds calibrated on a single event — the 2026-06/07 semiconductor selloff (n=1); pending validation against more historical events
Not investment advice